Susceptibility and infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 in children versus adults, by variant (wild-type, alpha, delta): A systematic review and meta-analysis of household contact studies

Abstract

Importance:

Understanding the susceptibility and infectiousness of children and adolescents in comparison to adults is important to appreciate their role in the COVID-19 pandemic. Objective:

To determine SARS-CoV-2 susceptibility and infectiousness of children and adolescents with adults as comparator for three variants (wild-type, alpha, delta) in the household setting. We aimed to identify the effects independent of vaccination or prior infection. Data sources:

We searched EMBASE, PubMed and medRxiv up to January 2022. Study selection:

Two reviewers independently identified studies providing secondary household attack rates (SAR) for SARS-CoV-2 infection in children (0–9 years), adolescents (10–19 years) or both compared with adults (20 years and older). Data extraction and synthesis:

Two reviewers independently extracted data, assessed risk of bias and performed a random-effects meta-analysis model. Main outcomes and measures:

Odds ratio (OR) for SARS-CoV-2 infection comparing children and adolescents with adults stratified by wild-type (ancestral type), alpha, and delta variant, respectively. Susceptibility was defined as the secondary attack rate (SAR) among susceptible household contacts irrespective of the age of the index case. Infectiousness was defined as the SAR irrespective of the age of household contacts when children/adolescents/adults were the index case. Results:

Susceptibility analysis: We included 27 studies (308,681 contacts), for delta only one (large) study was available. Compared to adults, children and adolescents were less susceptible to the wild-type and delta, but equally susceptible to alpha. Infectiousness analysis: We included 21 studies (201,199 index cases). Compared to adults, children and adolescents were less infectious when infected with the wild-type and delta. Alpha -related infectiousness remained unclear, 0–9 year old children were at least as infectious as adults. Overall SAR among household contacts varied between the variants. Conclusions and relevance:

When considering the potential role of children and adolescents, variant-specific susceptibility, infectiousness, age group and overall transmissibility need to be assessed.