Real-time monitoring shows substantial excess all-cause mortality during second wave of COVID-19 in Europe, October to December 2020
Nørgaard, Sarah K.
Vestergaard, Lasse S.
Nielsen, Jens
Richter, Lukas
Schmid, Daniela
Bustos, Natalia
Braye, Toon
Athanasiadou, Maria
Lytras, Theodore
Denissov, Gleb
Veideman, Tatjana
Luomala, Oskari
Möttönen, Teemu
Fouillet, Anne
Caserio-Schönemann, Céline
an der Heiden, Matthias
Uphoff, Helmut
Gkolfinopoulou, Kassiani
Bobvos, Janos
Paldy, Anna
Rotem, Naama
Kornilenko, Irene
Domegan, Lisa
O’Donnell, Joan
De Donato, Francesca
Scortichini, Matteo
Hoffmann, Patrick
Velez, Telma
England, Kathleen
Calleja, Neville
van Asten, Liselotte
Stoeldraijer, Lenny
White, Richard A.
Paulsen, Trine H.
da Silva, Susana P.
Rodrigues, Ana P.
Klepac, Petra
Zaletel, Metka
Fafangel, Mario
Larrauri, Amparo
León, Inmaculada
Farah, Ahmed
Galanis, Ilias
Junker, Christoph
Perisa, Damir
Sinnathamby, Mary
Andrews, Nick
O'Doherty, Mark G.
Irwin, David
Kennedy, Sharon
McMenamin, Jim
Adlhoch, Cornelia
Bundle, Nick
Penttinen, Pasi
Pukkila, Jukka
Pebody, Richard
Krause, Tyra G.
Mølbak, Kåre
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) global pandemic is ongoing, with Europe and the Americas the current epicentres of transmission. As at 1 January, 2021, over 82 million cases and 1.8 million deaths have been reported globally [1,2]. In Europe alone, the number of cases reported has now passed 26 million, with over 580,000 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 deaths [3,4]. As many COVID-19 cases and deaths may not be confirmed by virological testing, and as the pandemic causes a range of indirect and collateral harms, the officially reported figures of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths represent only a part of the total disease, mortality and overall public health burden associated with the pandemic. Here we report some noteworthy estimates of a marked increase in excess all-cause mortality in Europe coinciding with a steep second wave of COVID-19 in many countries since September 2020.